IPCC Guidance

The IPCC’s 1.5°C-aligned guidance indicates that the role of nuclear energy in the energy mix is projected to increase by 2050 in most 1.5°C pathways with no or limited overshoot (IPCC, SR15, October 2018, Chapter 2). As a low-carbon fuel, nuclear is tied to reductions in fossil fuel use and increased electrification (IPCC, AR6, WGIII, April 2022, Technical Summary). The IPCC's Sixth Assessment Report further suggests that nuclear energy may be required to ensure reliability and resource adequacy with higher penetration of wind and solar (IPCC, AR6 WGIII, April 2022, Chapter 6). Nevertheless, the IPCC explains that nuclear power continues to be affected by cost overruns, high upfront investment needs, challenges with final disposal of radioactive waste, and varying public acceptance and political support levels IPCC, AR6 WGIII, April 2022, Chapter 6).

InfluenceMap Scoring Benchmark

+2: Alignment with IPCC


A +2 score, indicating strong alignment with the IPCC’s science-based guidance on the role of nuclear in 1.5°C pathways, is achieved by supporting a long-term role of nuclear alongside robust measures to phase out fossil fuels, to facilitate a transition towards a renewables-focused energy mix before 2050.

+1: Partial Alignment with IPCC


A +1 score, indicating broad alignment with the IPCC’s science-based guidance on the role of nuclear in 1.5°C pathways, is achieved by making broad statements in favor of a role for nuclear to support a transition towards a renewables-focused energy mix.

0: Neutral Alignment with IPCC


A 0 score, indicating unclear or mixed alignment with the IPCC’s science-based guidance on the role of nuclear in 1.5°C pathways, is achieved by supporting a role for nuclear in the energy mix but with ambiguity about a full transition towards a zero-emission energy system.

-1 Score: Misalignment with IPCC


A -1 score, indicating misalignment with the IPCC’s science-based guidance on the role of nuclear in 1.5°C pathways, is achieved by supporting the role of nuclear in the energy mix but as an alternative to a transition to renewable energy or to accompany GHG-emitting energy sources.

-2 Score: Strong Misalignment with IPCC


A -2 score, indicating strong misalignment with the IPCC’s science-based guidance on the role of nuclear in 1.5°C pathways, is achieved by advocating for nuclear energy in conjunction with a continued role for fossil fuels (e.g., fossil gas and coal) while opposing a shift to a zero-carbon energy mix.

Scoring Examples

EDF

2024

Region

Global

Source

Main Web Site

Query

Energy Transition & Zero Carbon Technologies

Score

2

InfluenceMap Comment

Promoting a steep ramp up for the role for renewables in the global energy mix in line with IPCC guidance between 2020 and 2050; Entity is advocating the need for stringent policy governmental intervention to aid a transition towards a renewables-based energy mix supported by nuclear; Communicating on the need for government intervention and/or policymaking to aid the phase out of coal in the energy mix (EDF, Climate Policy Engagement Review 2023, April 2024)

Extract from Source

EDF Group is dedicated to advancing low-carbon energy sources as part of its efforts to achieve decarbonization and improve energy efficiency. […] EDF is working to hasten France’s energy transition and end its dependency on fossil fuels. […] Promoting the coal phase-out Since 2017, EDF has been engaged in the Powering Past Coal Alliance8, which promotes the phasing out of coal in EU countries by 2030 and in the rest of the world by 2050 in the wake of the Paris Agreement. Since 2021, EDF lent its support to the Global Coal to Clean Power Transition Statement launched during the UK presidency of the COP26 summit; this statement has already been signed by 23 countries9. To accelerate the development of decarbonised energies (renewable and nuclear) and to contribute to energy efficiency. [...] During the UN General Assembly and New York Climate Week in September 2023, EDF joined the “Global Renewable Alliance” initiative calling for a tripling of renewable energy capacities globally by 2030. This initiative, endorsed by more than 120 countries, made it possible to include this goal, as well as that of doubling the annual rate of improvement in energy efficiency, in the final decision of the COP28, which was held in Dubai from 30 November to 12 December 2023.

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PDFWeb Link

Created - 11/07/2024

Last Edited - 25/09/2024

Region

United States

Source

CEO Messaging

Query

Energy Transition & Zero Carbon Technologies

Score

1

InfluenceMap Comment

Evidence suggests supporting an increase in renewables, nuclear, and other zero-carbon energy technologies in the energy mix (Constellation CEO Joseph Dominguez, Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript, February 2024)

Extract from Source

The world clearly is moving in our direction. In the coming years, the demand for reliable and clean energy will only grow. We're the ones that are best positioned to meet that growing demand for clean energy and to tackle the energy transition to unlock the value through compensation for the unique, clean and reliable attributes of our 180 million-megawatt hours of nuclear and to help America power the technologies of the future, whether that be EVs, electric heating, industrial electrification or the booming demand for the data economy that America must lead in for both economic and national security reasons. [...] So in a sharply divided political world where the parties don't seem to agree on much, each party recognizes the unique and critical nature of nuclear energy and how essential it is to our country. [...] PJM's peak demand forecast for 2028 increased by 2% just in the last year. ERCOT's forecast for 2028 increased a whopping 6.6% that increases being driven by economic development across the country. This past year, more than 200 manufacturing facilities have been announced and almost 0.5 trillion investments have been made since 2021. We're seeing onshoring of businesses from Europe and other parts of the world that simply don't enjoy America's affordable energy dominance. And we're seeing onshoring of supply chains here in America due to political tensions that are rising between the U.S., China and other nations. We're seeing electrification of transportation, buildings and manufacturing. We're seeing increases in the frequency of extreme weather events driving peak demand growth. And the demand growth is being talked about quite frequently in the data economy where AI is driving significant increase in these forecasts. [...] I want to be clear. We think renewables have an important place in our efforts to decarbonize.

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PDFWeb Link

Created - 01/08/2024

Last Edited - 01/08/2024

Region

Korea

Source

Corporate Media

Query

Energy Transition & Zero Carbon Technologies

Score

0

InfluenceMap Comment

Supporting nuclear but with no clear position on the energy mix in general (Korea Enterprises Federation (KEF), KEF website Press Release, July 2024)

Extract from Source

○ The Korea Enterprises Federation (KEF) very much welcomes that Team Korea, including Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power (KHNP), was selected as the preferred bidder for the 24 trillion Won Czech new nuclear power plant construction project. […] ○ Not only will this selection of the preferred bidder lead to a final contract, but the government should provide more active support so that Korea's role in the international nuclear energy industry can be further expanded in the future.

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PDFWeb Link

Created - 24/07/2024

Last Edited - 15/11/2024

Region

South Africa

Source

Corporate Media

Query

Energy Transition & Zero Carbon Technologies

Score

-1

InfluenceMap Comment

Entity is supporting the long-term role for nuclear in the energy mix, but seemingly to accompany GHG-emitting energy sources including fossil gas (State of the system presentation (Winter Plan Outlook), April 2024)

Extract from Source

Government support for Eskom’s participation in clean energy investments to support RE growth, e.g. gas and pumped hydro storage and nuclear schemes 

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PDFWeb Link

Created - 01/07/2024

Last Edited - 25/09/2024

Region

United States

Source

CEO Messaging

Query

Energy Transition & Zero Carbon Technologies

Score

-2

InfluenceMap Comment

Evidence suggests opposing policies which aid the decarbonization of the economy; stating the need for fossil fuels and nuclear while emphasizing concerns around energy security, affordability, and reliability (Consumer Energy Alliance, President, David Holt, Real Clear Energy Op-Ed, September 2024)

Extract from Source

As we face increasing energy demands and an aging infrastructure, it's crucial that we start planning now for a future where reliable power can no longer be taken for granted. Most worrisome has been the push by the White House and some states like New York and California to adopt aggressive decarbonization policies that eliminate reliable, affordable and clean energy sources without any equivalent replacement. [...] Specifically, these states favor or are approving draconian restrictions and bans on traditional fuels. These create reckless delays and/or prohibitions of vital pipelines and transmission lines. Other favorite policies include passing laws demanding electrification of appliances in homes (which has contributed to the rising costs of home construction) or prescribing how many electric vehicles must be sold – even if enough people don’t want to buy them. [...] What’s unnerving is that the administration and local and state politicians forget the real-world realities and cost implications of attempting to outlaw oil and natural gas now and rely on wind and solar. For one thing, even as we add more wind and solar to our energy mix, our country won’t rely solely on renewable energy sources for decades. [...] Plus, look at the real-world reality for affordability and reliability. [...] Mandating politically-preferred energy forms that can’t yet, if ever, replace abundant natural gas, oil, and nuclear will bring energy shortages, electricity blackouts and higher prices at home and at the pump

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PDFWeb Link

Created - 25/09/2024

Last Edited - 02/10/2024